Is Truck Driving in Demand: The Driver Shortage Explained

Trucking is currently experiencing extremely high demand for qualified drivers, driven by a persistent and structural workforce gap known as the driver shortage. This deficit has become a central challenge for the entire logistics and supply chain sector, confirming that a career in commercial driving offers strong job prospects. The industry is actively seeking to recruit and retain hundreds of thousands of new drivers over the next decade to keep pace with economic activity.

The Current State of Demand

The demand for truck drivers significantly outpaces the available workforce, creating a sustained deficit. The American Trucking Associations (ATA) estimated the shortage was approximately 60,000 drivers in a recent period, a figure expected to rise sharply as freight demand increases. While the shortage number has fluctuated due to temporary economic downturns, the underlying structural labor problem remains unsolved. The ATA forecasts that the industry will need to hire more than one million new drivers over the next decade to replace those who retire or leave the profession. This sustained requirement for new workers underscores the long-term job security available in commercial driving.

Key Factors Driving High Demand

The high demand for truck drivers is rooted in several systemic factors that create a continuous need for new talent. The primary driver is the aging demographic of the current workforce, where the average age of an over-the-road driver is around 46 years old. As this population approaches retirement, the industry struggles to attract enough younger people to fill the vacancies, creating a widening generational gap. High turnover rates, particularly among long-haul carriers, exacerbate the shortage, with some segments experiencing annual turnover exceeding 90%. This turnover is often driven by the demanding nature of the job, which involves extended periods away from home. Finally, the rapid growth of e-commerce places constant pressure on the supply chain, requiring a large pool of drivers to handle the rapid flow of inventory.

Career Benefits of High Demand

The intense competition for drivers translates directly into tangible financial and employment benefits for those entering the profession. Average wages have been steadily increasing, with experienced drivers and those in specialized roles often earning well above $80,000 annually, and some making $90,000 to $123,000 depending on location and endorsements. To attract new talent, many carriers offer substantial sign-on bonuses, which can be paid as a large sum upfront or disbursed over a period of months. Retention bonuses and improved compensation structures are also common as companies seek to keep their existing workforce. Carriers frequently enhance their benefits packages, including offering comprehensive healthcare, paid time off, and retirement plans, to make the career more attractive to potential recruits.

Different Types of Driving Roles in Demand

Demand varies significantly across the different segments of the trucking industry, allowing drivers to choose a career path that aligns with their lifestyle and compensation goals. These varied opportunities provide a wide range of entry points and specialization options for new drivers.

Local and Regional Driving

Local and regional driving roles focus on shorter routes, often allowing the driver to return home daily or at least weekly. While the annual income for local drivers may be slightly lower than for long-haul routes, around $66,000 to $75,877 on average, this sector offers a significantly better work-life balance. The increase in e-commerce and last-mile delivery has amplified the demand for these roles, making them an attractive option for drivers who prioritize time at home.

Over-the-Road OTR

Over-the-Road (OTR), or long-haul driving, involves transporting freight across long distances, often requiring drivers to stay out for multiple weeks at a time. OTR drivers typically command higher annual salaries, averaging around $70,000 to $120,211 for solo drivers, due to the extended time away from home. These jobs are the most susceptible to the driver shortage, as the demanding lifestyle challenges contribute directly to high turnover rates.

Specialized Hauling

Specialized hauling involves moving niche freight that requires specific skills, equipment, and endorsements, often resulting in premium pay. This category includes transporting hazardous materials (Hazmat), operating tanker trucks, or hauling oversized loads like construction beams on a flatbed trailer. Drivers who obtain these additional endorsements can significantly boost their earning potential, with some specialized roles paying upwards of $82,262 to $95,146 annually.

Requirements to Enter the Industry

Capitalizing on the high demand requires obtaining the Commercial Driver’s License (CDL), the mandatory credential for operating a large commercial motor vehicle. Prospective drivers must first obtain a Commercial Learner’s Permit (CLP), which requires passing knowledge tests and a physical exam to receive a Department of Transportation (DOT) medical card. The CLP allows the individual to practice driving on public roads only when accompanied by a qualified CDL holder. As of early 2022, federal regulations require new Class A and Class B CDL applicants to complete Entry-Level Driver Training (ELDT) from a registered provider before taking the skills test. This training includes both classroom theory and a significant amount of behind-the-wheel instruction. The final step is passing a three-part skills test—including a vehicle inspection, basic controls, and a road test—to be issued the CDL.

Future Outlook for Truck Driving Demand

The long-term outlook for truck driving demand remains positive, despite ongoing advancements in automation and self-driving technology. While autonomous trucks are being developed and tested, their widespread deployment is still years away, with significant numbers of automated vehicles not projected until near 2030. Automation is expected to first impact long-haul highway segments, potentially through platooning, but human oversight will still be necessary for complex situations, such as navigating urban areas and last-mile deliveries. Highly-skilled drivers will continue to be needed to handle specialized transport, manage the technology, and perform critical tasks like loading and unloading in diverse environments. The fundamental need for human control in the complex logistics chain ensures continued high demand for the foreseeable future.