Who Usually Gets Laid Off First? The Deciding Factors.

A layoff is a termination of employment driven by a company’s financial necessity or strategic decision-making, unlike a firing which is based on individual performance. When an organization reduces its workforce, the decision of who departs is based on various criteria. These factors vary significantly depending on the company’s industry, financial condition, and long-term business goals.

The Primary Driver: Role Redundancy and Strategic Alignment

The initial driver of layoff decisions is the elimination of the position itself, regardless of the employee. Organizations facing economic pressure first identify functions or departments that no longer align with the company’s core mission. Roles associated with experimental divisions, recently acquired units, or projects non-essential to immediate revenue generation are frequently targeted. This means a high-performing employee in a redundant role is more vulnerable than an average performer in a strategically vital one.

The company’s strategic outlook dictates the prioritization of remaining functions. For instance, a tech company focusing on Artificial Intelligence may eliminate teams dedicated to legacy software products. Administrative overhead or internal support roles that do not directly generate income are also commonly scrutinized for consolidation or reduction. If the purpose of a role is deemed obsolete or too far removed from the company’s new direction, the position is likely to be cut first.

Performance and Demonstrated Value

Once roles are identified for reduction, individual performance becomes the deciding factor among employees with similar job functions. Companies rely on documented evidence, such as recent performance reviews and quantifiable metrics, for objective selection. Employees who have consistently received low ratings or are on a Performance Improvement Plan (PIP) are more vulnerable. Their termination is easily justified as performance-based, minimizing the risk of wrongful termination claims.

The selection process assesses an employee’s value against the needs of the remaining team. For technical roles, this involves evaluating skill set relevance, such as proficiency in new technologies like machine learning or cloud infrastructure. Companies often use “stack ranking” to compare employees within the same job code, retaining the highest-rated contributors. Employees whose work is easily transferable, or who lack specialized skills necessary for the company’s future, face a higher risk of separation.

Cost and Experience Factors

Financial criteria play a substantial part in layoff decisions, especially when rapid cost reduction is the goal. Higher-salaried employees, often senior staff with long tenure, may be targeted because eliminating one high earner saves the same amount as cutting several junior positions. This tactic, sometimes called “juniorization,” lowers the overall compensation burden while retaining less-expensive, entry-level employees. Although this risks losing institutional knowledge, the immediate financial benefit is often compelling during a cash crunch.

The role of tenure varies widely. The “Last In, First Out” (LIFO) principle, where the most recently hired employees are laid off first, is common in unionized or traditional industries. However, in modern corporate and technology sectors, skill relevance and performance often outweigh simple tenure. Conversely, the “First In, First Out” (FIFO) approach targets the highest-paid, longest-tenured employees when a company seeks to drastically reduce fixed labor costs and management layers.

Contract Status and Contingent Workers

Non-essential workers who are not full W-2 employees are almost universally the first group let go during a workforce reduction. This category includes 1099 contractors, external consultants, and temporary staff tied to specific projects. Releasing these contingent workers is the easiest way to cut operational costs, as it involves fewer legal obligations, minimal severance, and a simpler administrative process. Their contracts end without the complexities associated with terminating a full-time, permanent employee.

Contingent workers are cut first because they represent variable costs on the company’s balance sheet. They are not considered part of the core, permanent workforce and represent an easily adjustable resource level. Eliminating contractors first allows a company to quickly shed labor expenses and demonstrate a commitment to cost-cutting, serving as a buffer before resorting to more difficult staff reductions.

Legal Protections and Selection Criteria

Layoff decisions must navigate legal requirements to ensure the selection process is non-discriminatory. Companies are prohibited from making selections based on protected characteristics, including age, race, gender, religion, national origin, and disability status. To mitigate the risk of wrongful termination lawsuits, organizations must use objective, documented criteria that can withstand legal scrutiny. This often involves statistical analysis to confirm the reduction does not disproportionately impact any protected group.

The Age Discrimination in Employment Act (ADEA) is a particular consideration, as older, higher-salaried workers may be targeted for cost reasons. Companies must prove that selecting an older employee was based on legitimate business factors, such as performance or role redundancy, and not age. Thorough documentation of the business justification and the specific selection criteria is paramount for legal compliance. Failure to demonstrate objective criteria can expose the company to significant legal risk.

Strategies for Improving Job Security

Employees can improve job security by focusing on becoming indispensable to the company’s core business functions. This involves seeking roles and projects that directly align with primary revenue generation or strategic growth initiatives. Employees who work on highly visible projects tied to the organization’s most profitable activities are safer than those in support or experimental roles. Demonstrating a direct link between daily work and financial success establishes a stronger value proposition.

Continuous upskilling and cross-training increase utility and marketability within the organization. Acquiring versatile skills or proficiency in emerging technologies ensures an employee can easily transition to new roles or fill critical gaps created by a reduction. Ensuring performance documentation is robust and accurate is important for any merit-based review process. Cultivating a strong internal network, particularly with management, can also provide insight into strategic shifts and future workforce planning.